affordable housing properties developed by the National Housing Trust (NHT) for the District of
Columbia government for the report, “Recommendations for Implementing the District’s
Building Energy Performance Standard in Affordable Multifamily Housing.” NHT’s report
provides an excellent starting point for cities and this analysis builds directly on that foundation
to show its replicability for other geographies.
To identify affordable properties, two separate datasets were used for subsidized and
NOAH buildings: the National Housing Preservation Database (NHPD) and 2016 datasets from
Costar Realty Information, Inc., respectively. According to Freddie Mac, “multifamily housing”
are residential buildings with more than four living units (Freddie Mac, 2020). Therefore, we
excluded all buildings with four or fewer units from this analysis.
We assume that subsidized housing includes Section 8, LIHTC, and Public Housing.
Within the NHPD dataset, subsidies are marked as either “active,” “inconclusive,” or “inactive.”
Only buildings with “active” and “inconclusive” subsidies are included in this analysis.
Unsubsidized buildings were assumed to fall into the NOAH segment. CoStar assigns a star
rating from one to five for each recorded property, which corresponds to the number of amenities
offered and the condition of the building. One- and two-star multifamily buildings were used as a
proxy to identify NOAH, since, relative to the rest of a city’s building stock, these properties are
priced lower, due to their construction date, type, amenities offered, etc. (Pyati, 2016).
Otherwise, there is no data source for tracking NOAH properties.
For each of the three cities, we assumed two different size thresholds for buildings that
would potentially be covered by a BPS, based on precedent with the building performance
policies in other jurisdictions: 25,000 square feet and 50,000 square feet. While 25,000 square
feet and 50,000 square feet are common thresholds for building performance policies to date, it is
important to keep in mind that cities may use different size thresholds for covered buildings if or
when they ultimately establish their building performance standards, and this methodology could
be used as a way to understand how that policy design decision may impact (positively or
negatively) the affordable housing stock in the city. As BPS policy design is in a relatively early
stage, with only a few enacted examples, there is room in the future for BPS policies to include
more expansive policy goals than the current models. For the purposes of this analysis, we’re
envisioning risk in the context of this first generation of BPS policies and the subsequent
analysis is intended to provide only an estimate of the relative magnitude of the potential impact
such standards may have on affordable housing.
Analysis and Findings
Table numbers correlate to the following cities’ multifamily affordable housing
estimates: Tables 1–3 for City A; Table 4–6 for City B; and Tables 7–9 for City C. In all
geographies, a BPS policy is likely to impact the majority of subsidized affordable housing.
Nearly all subsidized multifamily units in all cities (94–96 percent) will likely be
eventually impacted by a BPS policy as the size threshold for square footage decreases.
However, in cities B and C, which are relatively large cities, subsidized housing units comprise a
fraction (33 percent and 14 percent, respectively) of the cities’ total multifamily affordable
housing. Without diminishing the importance of subsidized housing for providing resources and
shelter to low-income populations, this emphasizes that unsubsidized/NOAH buildings provide a
large proportion of the housing in these and other large metropolitan areas, and are therefore
NOAH building owners and tenants are critical stakeholders to engage in policy design.